The Coming Democratic Realignment (PS)

Data for Green, Palmquist, and Schickler PS essay (June, 2000)

These data have run through 1999:4, although the essay uses data only through 1999:3.
Note that the Gallup macropartisanship scores have been adjusted for sampling bias
due to the conversion from in-person to phone surveys. See Green et al. APSR (December, 1998)

obs MICS APPROVAL Macropid
1953:1 90.7 69.38481 60.5
1953:2 85.7 73.01865 59.1
1953:3 80.8 69.77687 57.8
1953:4 81.4 63.49749 59.2
1954:1 82 68.75 59.4
1954:2 82.9 64.03874 59.7
1954:3 85 68.03308 59.6
1954:4 87 60.70038 61.2
1955:1 95.9 69.54889 62.7
1955:2 99.1 68.74804 59.5
1955:3 99.4 73.00066 59.1
1955:4 99.7 74.42218 58.7
1956:1 99.1 74.32547 57.5
1956:2 98.19999 70.75 56.5
1956:3 99.9 69 55.5
1956:4 100.2 76.5202 56.4
1957:1 96.6 70.88066 56.2
1957:2 92.9 64.03822 57.4
1957:3 88.1 61.75514 56.5
1957:4 83.7 57.48895 58.8
1958:1 78.5 54.28064 61.4
1958:2 80.9 53.59935 58.9
1958:3 85.9 55.43182 61.1
1958:4 90.8 55.35672 59.5
1959:1 93.1 58.00528 62.8
1959:2 95.3 61.99811 62.1
1959:3 94.6 65.49461 60.1
1959:4 93.8 68.92801 60.3
1960:1 100 64.99288 61.1
1960:2 93.3 61.4043 62.9
1960:3 91.7 59.91156 60.2
1960:4 90.1 58.98809 60.9
1961:1 91.6 72.49676 62.9
1961:2 92.5 75.20036 63.8
1961:3 99.2 76.63575 64.4
1961:4 93 77.67345 66.8
1962:1 99.9 79.01476 66
1962:2 95.4 73.04588 65.6
1962:3 91.6 65.56246 64.1
1962:4 95 70.44001 62.6
1963:1 98.4 70.22115 64.6
1963:2 91.7 63.81464 63.6
1963:3 96.4 60.02908 64.3
1963:4 94.4 66.96352 65.8
1964:1 99.5 76.84078 67.3
1964:2 98.5 74.33901 67.5
1964:3 100.6 72.165 66
1964:4 99.9 70 67.7
1965:1 102 69.91563 67.5
1965:2 102.2 66.67912 66.3
1965:3 103.4 63.50238 67.3
1965:4 102.9 64.29281 65.7
1966:1 100 57.94392 65.8
1966:2 95.7 49.74976 63
1966:3 91.2 51.36657 65.1
1966:4 88.3 47.71648 62.8
1967:1 94.1 46.00866 60.3
1967:2 95.9 47.44471 60.9
1967:3 97 40.97772 60.6
1967:4 92.9 41.96947 60.5
1968:1 97.2 43.66844 64.2
1968:2 92.4 43.7533 63.3
1968:3 92.4 38.98286 57.2
1968:4 91.7 43.49455 60.3
1969:1 98.2 61.81928 60.7
1969:2 91.5 62.37735 59
1969:3 86.4 60.26704 61
1969:4 79.7 59.98319 60.7
1970:1 78.1 58.52516 60.4
1970:2 75.4 56.49604 60
1970:3 77.6 55.81867 61.6
1970:4 72.4 55.66517 60.6
1971:1 78.1 53.43258 62.4
1971:2 80.2 49.00969 63.3
1971:3 82.1 49.67 62.9
1971:4 82 50.32563 63.1
1972:1 92.8 52.74959 63.5
1972:2 88.6 57.99625 64
1972:3 95.2 59.237 59.7
1972:4 90.7 60.47876 58.4
1973:1 81.9 60.91823 62.4
1973:2 77 46.77939 64.7
1973:3 72 33 64.2
1973:4 76.5 28.66134 63.8
1974:1 61.8 26.67002 67.2
1974:2 72.1 25.5453 64.9
1974:3 64.4 47.14713 66.5
1974:4 59.5 48.46792 67.4
1975:1 57.6 38.00426 67.3
1975:2 72.8 45.19755 66.9
1975:3 75.7 45.32686 68.4
1975:4 75.6 44.02258 64.7
1976:1 84.6 47.50032 66
1976:2 83.3 46.67267 68.8
1976:3 89.7 49.836 68
1976:4 87 53 67.1
1977:1 87.1 69.73444 69.5
1977:2 90.2 63.66874 69.5
1977:3 89 61.79062 69.2
1977:4 84.4 54.00198 68.3
1978:1 82.57035 50.60651 67.7
1978:2 81.80642 41.58528 67.8
1978:3 80.08347 44.71908 67.1
1978:4 73.79765 50.59314 66.5
1979:1 71.96878 42.8129 67.7
1979:2 66.73846 31.7603 67.1
1979:3 63.681 31.71655 67.9
1979:4 62.29659 39.77124 67.8
1980:1 63.98381 50.54561 67.4
1980:2 54.32322 36.556 66.7
1980:3 67.81036 34.34947 65.8
1980:4 72.09423 32.49903 62.7
1981:1 68.28071 52.98749 60.4
1981:2 73.9127 63.80854 59.9
1981:3 74.81381 57.39031 60
1981:4 65.7408 53.51809 61.5
1982:1 66.54311 47.65346 62.4
1982:2 66.22643 44.32377 63.5
1982:3 66.70125 41.66497 62.7
1982:4 72.46894 42.34134 64
1983:1 75.29516 38.25519 65.2
1983:2 91.5297 43.20834 66.1
1983:3 91.54949 43.91468 63.4
1983:4 91.54615 48.16459 61.3
1984:1 99.50769 54.01004 59.7
1984:2 96.56844 53.75086 60
1984:3 98.90471 54.63965 54.6
1984:4 94.97 59.66784 52.6
1985:1 94.45564 60.21314 51.9
1985:2 94.29215 56.57757 54
1985:3 92.82642 62.70696 53
1985:4 91.06676 64.18681 54.2
1986:1 95.53289 63.60995 54
1986:2 96.76966 64.25618 55.5
1986:3 94.84183 63 54.9
1986:4 92.02872 57.00412 56.1
1987:1 90.46589 47 56.8
1987:2 91.80005 48.11452 57.8
1987:3 93.90092 49.42111 59
1987:4 86.3978 52.31357 55.5
1988:1 92.33129 49.79548 59.1
1988:2 93.56037 48.50149 59.737
1988:3 96.03158 53.00067 55.737
1988:4 93.00072 60.25201 59.137
1989:1 95.86594 56.84653 54.137
1989:2 90.93132 61.20331 53.537
1989:3 92.47581 67.5557 55.137
1989:4 91.76551 66.10082 56.237
1990:1 91.2539 73.45515 53.537
1990:2 90.94032 67.60051 55.337
1990:3 79.1249 68.6881 53.837
1990:4 65.13243 56.65385 55.037
1991:1 74.82339 79.57416 52.737
1991:2 80.73495 75.0016 52.337
1991:3 82.63369 68.95601 51.037
1991:4 71.87212 58.40304 51.937
1992:1 70.76798 42.01117 55.937
1992:2 78.93217 39.42046 55.337
1992:3 76.10066 35.29723 58.437
1992:4 83.22626 41.38888 59.437
1993:1 87.27 54.7 59.837
1993:2 82.47 44.3 56.937
1993:3 77.4 46.2 56.637
1993:4 84.03 49.6 57.537
1994:1 93 52.7 56.937
1994:2 92.2 48 56.537
1994:3 90.73 41.8 54.637
1994:4 93.13 43.5 53.537
1995:1 94.33 45.6 50.837
1995:2 91.67 48.5 54.437
1995:3 93.17 46.2 53.337
1995:4 89.8 49.7 55.937
1996:1 90.5 49.4 52.737
1996:2 91.5 53.8 57.337
1996:3 94.9 55.9 58.037
1996:4 97.5 56.9 59.537
1997:1 99 58.98 56.937
1997:2 103 55.5 58.457
1997:3 105.8 59.74 60.337
1997:4 105 58.09 57.347
1998:1 107.8 64.33 57.837
1998:2 106.9 62.49 56.337
1998:3 103.5 63.03 58.307
1998:4 100.2 65.34 58.617
1999:1 105.9 66.16 58.867
1999:2 106.2 58.78 57.617
1999:3 105.9 60.3 56.537
1999:4 105.3 57.6 57.537